1Graduate School of Agriculture, Kyoto University, Kitashirakawa Oiwake-chou, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8502, Japan
2Graduate School of Environmental, Life, Natural Science and Technology, Okayama University, 1-1-1, Tsushima Naka, Okayama 700-8530, Japan
3Graduate School of Mathematics, Kyushu University, 744, Motooka, Fukuoka Shi Nishi Ku, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan
4Graduate School of Agriculture, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology, 3-5-8 Saiwaicho, Fuchu, Tokyo 183-8509, Japan
5Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences, 1-1 Ohwashi, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8686, Japan
6Faculty of Applied Biological Sciences, Gifu University, 1-1 Yanagido, Gifu 501-1193, Japan
7Artificial Intelligence Advanced Research Center, Gifu University, 1-1 Yanagido, Gifu 501-1193, Japan.
8Tropical Agriculture Research Front, Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences, 1091-1 Maezato, Ishigaki, Okinawa 907-0002, Japan
9Graduate School of Agricultural Science, Tohoku University, Aramaki Aza-Aoba, Aoba, Sendai, Miyagi 980-8572, Japan.
10Africa Rice Center (AfricaRice), 01 BP 2551 Bouaké, Côte d'Ivoire
11Africa Rice Center (AfricaRice), Regional Station for the Sahel, B.P. 96, Saint-Louis, Senegal
12Africa Rice Center (AfricaRice), P.O. Box 1690, Ampandrianomby, Antananarivo, Madagascar
13Africa Rice Center (AfricaRice), Nigeria Station, c/o IITA, PMB 5320, Ibadan, Nigeria
14Latin American Fund for Irrigated Rice - The Alliance of Bioversity International and CIAT, Km 17 Recta Cali-Palmira, C.P. 763537, A.A. 6713, Cali, Colombia
15Rice Research and Training Center, Field Crops Research Institute, ARC, Giza, Egypt
16Philippine Rice Research Institute (PhilRice), Maligaya, Science City of Muñoz, 3119 Nueva Ecija, Philippines
17International Rice Research Institute (IRRI), DAPO Box 7777, Metro Manila 1301, Philippines
18These authors contributed equally to this work.
Received 21 Jan 2023 |
Accepted 28 Jun 2023 |
Published 28 Jul 2023 |
Rice (Oryza sativa L.) is one of the most important cereals, which provides 20% of the world’s food energy. However, its productivity is poorly assessed especially in the global South. Here, we provide a first study to perform a deep-learning-based approach for instantaneously estimating rice yield using red-green-blue images. During ripening stage and at harvest, over 22,000 digital images were captured vertically downward over the rice canopy from a distance of 0.8 to 0.9 m at 4,820 harvesting plots having the yield of 0.1 to 16.1 t·ha−1 across 6 countries in Africa and Japan. A convolutional neural network applied to these data at harvest predicted 68% variation in yield with a relative root mean square error of 0.22. The developed model successfully detected genotypic difference and impact of agronomic interventions on yield in the independent dataset. The model also demonstrated robustness against the images acquired at different shooting angles up to 30° from right angle, diverse light environments, and shooting date during late ripening stage. Even when the resolution of images was reduced (from 0.2 to 3.2 cm·pixel−1 of ground sampling distance), the model could predict 57% variation in yield, implying that this approach can be scaled by the use of unmanned aerial vehicles. Our work offers low-cost, hands-on, and rapid approach for high-throughput phenotyping and can lead to impact assessment of productivity-enhancing interventions, detection of fields where these are needed to sustainably increase crop production, and yield forecast at several weeks before harvesting.